Growing inventory, strong tenant credits and yield have all been primary drivers. For this report, SRS reviewed Q4 2021 sales reported by Costar for the following sectors: Automotive, Bank, Big Box/Superstore, Casual Dining, C-Store/Gas, Dollar Stores, Educational (Childcare), Fast Casual, Grocery, General Retail, Medical STNL, Pharmacy, and QSR. We can help finance the purchase, construction, or renovation of commercial property through our network of private investors and banks. Not only was Assets America successful, they were able to obtain an interest rate lower than going rates. These brands and others in the industry alike have been able to quickly adapt to customer demand by space remodeling, adding drive-thru to permitted spaces and provide in-app and delivery orders. It also provides real estate investors with an indication of risk high cap rates mean more risk, which is why investors need a higher return. As more investors see urgent cares, dialysis centers, and emergency care centers as sources of stable cash flows, we can expect cap rates to hold steady or compress further in 2022, so long as lender financing remains available. As the pressures from the Omicron variant persists, more consumers are purchasing goods rather than services. Focusing on business development, industry and client-specific research, and the analysis of local and national market trends, Lanie Beck has been the Director of Research for Stan Johnson Co. since 2013. Some of the highest profile transactions continue to be Amazon-leased properties, as investors flock to the high-quality, high-credit assets. to a ground lease needs to be refinanced with only 20 years remaining on the ground lease, the expected valuation decline can make this exceptionally difficult. I don't think 39 is a magic number. You enter the area, rental rate, and agents fee. The level of annual, single-tenant transaction volume consistently ranks the firm in the top 10 companies nationally, according to industry benchmarks determined by CoStar and Real Capital Analytics. In the first quarter of 2021, bank properties with leases in excess of 18 years commanded cap rates of 4.30%, a 10 basis point decrease from the prior year. In the retail sector, they inched up a few basis points to an average cap rate of 5.88% and in the industrial sector they averaged 6.77%. In a net lease, the tenant is responsible for some or all of them, depending on which type of net lease they have signed. Give them a call if the deal makes sense they can get it funded. Consumer views on both present and future economic expectations continue to downgrade from the pressures caused by inflation and the lack of available goods caused by global supply chain issues. Despite job loseand salary disparities as a result of COVID-19, a significant gain in spending is expected to be seen towards the end of 2021 due to both increased consumer accumulated savings and widespread government stimulus payments. This is because tenants tend to be willing to pay higher rents for newer properties. It was a rather unusual ground lease, in that it was a 10-year triple-net ground lease with four 5-year options to extend. We leverage this experience to identify and present the most promising deals to our investors. Revenue for C-Stores is expected to grow at an annual rate of 1.5% until 2026. UNITED STATES HQ8144 Walnut Hill Lane, Suite 1200Dallas, TX 75231. Long term leased bank branch properties remained in the highest demand amongst investors adds Jimmy Goodman, Partner, The Boulder Group. Cap rates continue to compress in this sector with the average cap rate falling 5bps from 5.98% in Q3 to 5.93% in Q4. The RealtyRates.com quarterly Investor Survey includes national mortgage terms and interest rates, equity requirements, cap and discount rates, reserve requirements, and interim financing rates and terms for 32 income producing property types, plus financial indicators, historical cap rate trend data, and land lease cap and discount rates, likewise by property type. The Boulder Group is a boutique, Chicago-based investment real estate services firm specializing in transaction and advisory services for single tenant net lease properties. Tenants with less financial strength push cap rates higher because they present more credit risk. As restrictions continue to be lifted, activity in casual dining will start to resume to a new business model normalcy. If there is a preexisting mortgage, the mortgagee must agree to an SNDA agreement. Despite inflation levels, consumers have more disposal income from post pandemic savings and federal stimulus payments. With an intentional focus on finding world-class, multi-tenanted assets well below intrinsic value, we seek to create superior long-term, risk-adjusted returns for our investors while creating strong economic assets for the communities we invest in. That control reverts to the owner/lessor upon the expiration of the lease. Casual dining restaurants have pivoted to a new business model normalcy. The big box sector within net lease continues to see diminished activity due to the pressure of online consumer spending, evolving smaller square footage footprints and business restructure. to historic lows, the government is set to invest a record amount in national infrastructure, and wages are rising across the board for workers as companies compete for talent. Bank Ground Leases 4.90% 4.72% 18 MEDIAN CLOSED CAP RATE SPREAD Q1 2021 Q1 2022 Tenant (Previous) (Current) Bank Ground Lease Sector 5.35% 5.15% Retail Net Lease Market 5.91% 5.75% Bank Ground Lease Premium (bps) 56 60 BANK GROUND LEASE SECTOR VS NET LEASE SECTOR CAP RATE The above data reflects bank ground leases with 12 or more lease years . Factors that can cause a net leased propertys cap rate to change include things like: market, location, tenant quality, and lease length. We later used Assets America for a unique equipment financing deal where once again Ronny and team exceeded our expectations and our timeline. While supply dwindled (22 sales in Q4 compared to 8 in Q1), cap rates for this sector held steady through Q1. are inherently riskier than others. We invite you to contact us for more information about our complete financial services. Cap rates continue to compressed, falling into the 4% range to 4.87% in Q4. Retail reflects falling cap rates. The firm provides a full range of brokerage, research, advisory, and financing services nationwide. The advantages of a ground lease include: The disadvantages of a ground lease include: This is a great commercial lease calculator. Keep in mind that Assets America can help finance the construction or renovation of commercial property through our network of private investors and banks. These facts are reflected in 2021s record transaction volume of $90+ billion. The exact share depends on the specific type of net lease, of which there are four. Here are some components that go into structuring a ground lease: The lease must be sufficiently long to allow the lessee to amortize the cost of the improvements it makes. Casual dining net lease is one of the most impacted retail sectors affected by COVID-19 compliances as businesses struggle to stay afloat. Ronny at Assets America has been invaluable to us and definitely is tops in his field. In fourth quarter, activity reached $18.3 billion, representing a 37 percent jump from the previous quarter and a 38 percent increase from fourth quarter 2020. The demand on the educational sector has been changing and evolving due to the impact of COVID-19. Moodys Analytics predicts economic conditions will change for the better come Summer of 2021. How to Build a Strong Commercial Real Estate Portfolio, How to Invest in Shopping Centers Through a Private Equity Real Estate Firm. By subscribing or purchasing surveys, you agree to our Terms of Use in their entirety including copyright provisions and the restrictions that accompany an ordinary annual subscription which represents a single site license, the use of which is limited to employees of a single office. Over the past twelve months, gasoline prices have increased by 49.6%. Due to the delay issues with supply chain operations and chip shortages, the automotive industry has been directly impacted as available inventory has become very limited. Despite a 5-basis point increase in the last quarter, cap rates arent expected to move substantially, although its possible the sectors average could rise above the 6.0-percent mark by year-end. which we must have to create or renew your subscription. Cap rates for Q1 recorded at 6.45% while the average lease term dropped to 8 years from 10 years in Q4. Average Property & Lease Credit Rating Average Cap Rate Trend 4.50% 2021 4.50% 2022 Rates reflect last 12 mos, short and long-term Recent Sales Comps Tenant News Featured Tenant Profiles Burger King Sector: QSR Avg. Consequently, these properties experienced the greatest amount of compression in the sector.. However, many investors who discovered the asset class in the last decade as they chased yield are realizing its increasingly difficult to find in todays market. Upon foreclosure of the property, the lender receives the lessees leasehold interest in the property. $100 million purchase price 6% going -in cap rate $35 million equity contribution $65.0 million loan 65% LTV fee simple value; 9.2% debt yield $49.2 million Leasehold Value 8% cap rate Since the beginning of the pandemic, average cap rates have slipped into the high 5.0 percent range and at mid-year 2021, sat at 5.9 percent. This sector is largely dominated by Walgreens transactions, and we expect to see the same over the coming months. 5 Key Factors That Can Kill a Real Estate Cycle, Avalon Investment Inks HQ Lease at LA-Area Property, Top 10 Markets for Office Deliveries in 2022. In particular, the so-called risk free rate on the 10-year US Treasury has risen from 1.08% to ~1.70% in the first few weeks of 2022. , the fastest increase in nearly 20 years. The sector is largely dominated by Walgreens transactions. At the time of financing, it was extremely difficult to obtain bank financing for commercial real estate. Having them on our team meant that we could always receive truthful, timely and accurate answers to our questions. is one of the countrys leading private equity commercial real estate investment firms. Typically, a ground lease term extends to at lease 5 to 10 years beyond the leasehold mortgage. Investor Survey. More than $8.4 billion in investment sales were reported over the last three months, jumping 20 percent from the previous quarter and 72 percent from this time last year. The cap rate compression associated with the banking sector can be best attributed to the investment grade credit of the tenants and the low interest rate environment says Randy Blankstein, President, The Boulder Group. We recommend them to anyone needing any type of commercial real estate transaction and we further highly recommend them for any type of commercial financing. The average cap rate compressed by 39bps from Q4 to Q1 while the average lease term has remained at 9 years. Bank properties with the longest leases typically display attractive traits including relocation branches and modern prototypes. To do so, we compiled the following average summary reports for a number of data points throughout each mentioned sector. For example, if the lessee takes a 30-year mortgage on its improvements, the lease term will run for at least 35 to 40 years. Sabiha Gken Havaliman'nn yaknnda yer al. Normally, the lessee will want a term that is 5 to 10 years longer than the loan amortization schedule. patrick.luther@srsre.com, 954.302.7365 Performance of c-store/gas stations will likely depend heavily on gasoline prices and sales. We expect to see a large influx of dark or subleased CVS assets hit the market throughout the year ahead. Consumer sentiment in November fell to its lowest level since 2011, measuring 66.8. The average cap rate remained flat decreasing by just 3 bps from Q3 while the average lease remained at 11 years in Q4. With an intentional focus on finding world-class, multi-tenanted assets well below intrinsic value, we seek to create superior long-term, risk-adjusted returns for our investors while creating strong economic assets for the communities we invest in. We came to terms with the Seller, entered into a purchase agreement and opened escrow. Commercial real estate investment property leases can be grouped into two categories, gross and net. The cap rate formula is: Cap Rate = Net Operating Income / Market Value. The RealtyRates.com quarterly Investor Survey includes national mortgage terms and interest rates, equity requirements, cap and discount rates, reserve requirements, and interim financing rates and terms for 32 income producing property types, plus financial indicators, historical cap rate trend data, and land lease cap and discount rates, Assets America guided us every step of the way in finding and leasing our large industrial building with attached offices. 103 0 obj <>/Filter/FlateDecode/ID[<353FF36C33814C419710E32BF719654E>]/Index[57 100]/Info 56 0 R/Length 190/Prev 315778/Root 58 0 R/Size 157/Type/XRef/W[1 3 1]>>stream Use by a firm's other offices requires multiple individual site licenses or a corporate multi-site license. On one hand, interest rates are rising. Lenders also require that neither lessors nor lessees can terminate ground leases due to a casualty without their permission. COVID-19 Vaccination | 39.6 Million People in the U.S. Have Received Their First Dose, Startups are Growing | 1.1 Million New Business Applications in 4Q/2020, Evolving Work Force Environment | Remote Work & Space Hybrid Conversions, $2 Trillion in Savings Deposits | Americans Accumulated Since February 2020. : A high quality tenant like a national company with a strong credit rating comes with less credit risk, which pushes the cap rate lower. As we enter 2022, the net lease market is working to digest a substantial amount of news, both good and bad. patrick.nutt@srsre.com. This gives the GL a maximum term of 30 years. : The good news is that net lease terms often call for periodic rent increases, which can go a long way in helping to offset rising cap rates. , the tenant pays base rent plus their share of property taxes and insurance. The lender only has the right to claim the leasehold. While Q1 saw the number of big box trades increase to 6, from 2 in Q4, diminished activity is expected to continue through 2021 as owners are tasked with trying to resolve big box space use options. Commercial real estate property valuations are driven by a number of factors, but two of the most important are the tenant lease type and the prevailing cap rate(s) in a given market. Highly recommend them to anyone looking for financing. Pleasure to work with and extremely knowledgeable, Assets America guided us every step of the way, The company is very capable, I would recommend Assets America, Assets America was incredibly helpful and professional, Assets America is a great company to work with, We were very pleased with Assets Americas expertise, Assets America helped us survive a very difficult time, Highly recommend them for any type of commercial financing, [contact-form-7 id="8901" title="Multistep Questions"], Starbucks drive-through shipping container store, Aircraft Financing Terms & Loan Complete Guide, Alienation Clause Everything You Need to Know, ARV After Repair Value Everything You Need to Know, Assignment Clause Everything You Need to Know, Average Daily Rate (ADR) Formula Complete Guide, Cap Rate Simplified for Commercial Real Estate (+ Calculator), Cash Coverage Ratio | Complete Guide + Calculator, Cash Out Refinance on Investment Property Complete Guide, CMBS Loans: Guide to Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities, Commercial Real Estate Appraisals Everything You Need to Know, Commercial Real Estate Syndication Ultimate Success Guide, Contingency Reserve Everything You Need to Know, CRE Loans What Nobody Tells You About Commercial Lending, Cross Default Everything You Need to Know, Equity Kicker Everything You Need to Know, Full Service Gross Lease Everything You Need to Know, Gap Funding Commercial Real Estate Pros & Cons, Ground Lease Everything You Need to Know (+ Calculator), Guide to Floor Area Ratio, Floor Space Index & Plot Ratio, Hard Costs vs Soft Costs Commercial Real Estate Guide, Hard Money vs Soft Money Loans in Real Estate, Hypothecation Agreements Everything You Need to Know, Intercreditor Agreements Everything You Need to Know, Loan Proceeds Everything You Need To Know, Loss to Lease Everything You Need to Know, Mergers & Acquisitions Seller Intake Questionnaire, Mergers & Acquisitions Buyer Intake Questionnaire, MIRR Guide | Modified Internal Rate of Return (+ Calculator), Modified Gross Lease Everything You Need to Know, Operating Expense Ratio Ultimate Guide (+ Calculator), Partially Amortized Loan Complete Guide, Potential Gross Income Everything You Need to Know, Preferred Equity in Real Estate Complete Investors Guide, Preferred Shares Everything You Need to Know, Property Interest Everything You Need to Know, Restrictive Covenants Everything You Need to Know, Reverse 1031 Exchange Everything You Need to Know. It is expected the QSR sector cap rates will remain compressed into the first half of 2022 as this sector remains to be a highly sought-after investment opportunity. The big box sector within net lease continues to see diminished activity due to the pressure of online consumer spending, evolving smaller square footage footprints and business restructure. Using a market capitalization rate of 9.00 percent indicates that net income of $13.43/SF would need to be achieved to justify an investment of $149.26/SF ($149.26 x .09 = $13.43); assuming vacancy and collection loss of five percent, an absolute net rental rate of $14.14/SF would be needed to achieve this level of net income ($13.43 0.95). In particular, the so-called risk free rate on the 10-year US Treasury has risen from 1.08% to ~1.70% in the first few weeks of 2022, the fastest increase in nearly 20 years. 2021 Net Lease Industrial Sales and Cap Rates. Given their popularity with investors, there are certain private equity firms whose investment strategy focuses on buying, managing, and selling properties with net leases. This requires special endorsements to the regular owners policy. Cap rates tend to move in conjunction with the 10-year treasury suggesting that additional increases are on the horizon, especially for riskier assets. While there are hundreds of these sites on market, there has been a noticeable decline in the percentage of available discount/dollar assets featuring long lease terms and absolute NNN lease structures. Data is distributed amongst 13 regions encompassing all 50 states as well as Puerto Rico, Guam and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Property types include: Apartments; Student Housing; Health Care and Senior Housing; Gas Stations and Convenience Stores; Golf Courses and Country Clubs; Industrial Warehouses and Distributions Centers; Hotels and Motels; Mini Storage Facilities; CBD and Suburban Office Buildings; Retail Shopping Centers; RV and Mobile Home Parks; Schools and Churches; Residential and Office and Industrial Condominiums; Subdivisions and Business and Industrial Parks; and Land Leases. However, this may conflict with the standard wording of a ground lease, which gives some control to the lessor. who want exposure to commercial real estate assets, but not the hassle of managing them on a day to day basis. Retail profit margins are expected to hit a high of 13% in 2021 as retailers are being challenged with an imbalance of demand and available inventory due supply chain issues. We were thankful for how promptly and consistently they kept us informed and up to date on each step of our journey. Another feature is for the lessor to assist the lessee in obtaining necessary licenses, permits and zoning variances. In Q4, an investment sale to note was Home Depot located in Anaheim, CA, which is the largest Home Depot location on the West Coast, traded at $53 million ($259 PSF). 2022 Assets America, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Even as the market emerges from the pandemic, and consumers may depend slightly less on e-commerce in the near term, the outlook still points to a long-term reliance on industrial product, and investors will continue to be drawn to opportunities in this sector. Normally, the lessee takes a lease on some raw or prepared land and constructs a building on it. Strong activity throughout the sector shouldnt come as a surprise though. These are mortgages financing the lessees improvements to the ground lease property. Cap rates for Q1 recorded at 6.45% while the average lease term dropped to 8 years from 10 years in Q4. In fourth quarter, activity reached $18.3 billion, representing a 37 percent jump from the previous quarter and a 38 percent increase from fourth quarter 2020. They were diligent and forthright on both accounts and brought our deal to a successful closing. In summary, Mr. DeMita said, "Given that even individual cell towers are selling for 20-24 times ANOI or higher and, depending on the escalation provisions inherent in the lease, rooftop and ground leases are now commonly trading for 18-20 times annual rent (equivalent to cap rates as low as 5%), it is a good time to be a wireless landlord." Cap Rate: 4.78% Truist Bank Sector: Bank Avg. With negative net branch openings throughout the years, the supply of bank ground leases is heavily concentrated with short term leases John Feeney, Senior Vice President, The Boulder Group adds. For example, when the lease expires, what will happen to the improvements? Thank you to Assets America for your highly professional service! We sought out the services of Ronny, CFO of Assets America. The price and asset value for triple net leased properties are driven by the propertys cap rate. If you prefer, you may also subscribe or order offline via US Post. They helped and successfully guided us to beat out 9 other competing offers! The number of properties trading hands in this sector increase back to historical averages and have held steady, demonstrating how investors are again looking at the net lease retail sector in general as an attractive, low or zero-management investment market with stable cash flow and sizable returns. Casual dining companies that were able to adapt to a fast-casual dining models have had the best success. It is expected the QSR sector cap rates will remain relatively flat or slightly compressed through the first half of 2021. QSR remains a steady and highly sought-after asset type given the sectors minimal need for COVID-19 adaption compared to other food service providers. Since the pandemic, we have not seen a quarter with more than 10 trades in this asset type. Inflation closed out the year at 6.8%, the highest seen since 1982. One important aspect of a ground lease is how the lessee will finance improvements to the land. Lenders want the broadest use provision in the lease. endstream endobj startxref RealtyRates.com is headquartered in Bradenton, Florida - Offices in New York, Boston, Chicago, Atlanta, Dallas, Denver, San Francisco, Los Angeles,and Honolulu. Had a lender in place in 30 minutes looking to do the deal. CVS assets have seen an increase in trades as investors seek out to both purchase and sell quality sites in the wake of the brand announcing they will be closing 900 stores, starting in the Spring 2022. At year-end 2021, the single-tenant industrial sector shattered records for both quarterly and annual investment sales volume. Accordingly, as banks implement their modern footprints and mobile banking strategies, bank branch closings have become more common. As schools continue to open their campuses to students, cap rates for educational NNN properties compressed by 51 bps in Q1 with average lease terms increasing to 14 years. %%EOF In other words, the lessee must make enough profits during the lease to pay for the lease and the improvements. Ronny and his company are true professionals. Despite the lack of inventory, consumer demand has remained strong. As consumers focus their spending on goods, US retail and food services increase by 0.3% YOY November 2021. Analysis has accounted for sales as reported to sources deemed reliable in the following sectors: Automotive, Bank, Casual Dining, C-Store, Dollar Stores, QSR, Medical, Pharmacy, Childcare, Fast Casual, Grocery, Big Box, and General Retail (Fitness, Hardware, Furniture, Cellular Stores, etc.). : Strong markets like major metro areas with high population growth command lower cap rates because they are considered less risky. He negotiated very aggressively on our behalf. As expected, the last few quarters have seen compressed cap rates, even falling below the 6.0 percent mark for back-to-back quarters in mid-2020. Typically, the lessee controls and depreciates the improvements during the lease period. The lessee must arrange title insurance for its leasehold. They handled all of the complex lease negotiations and contractual paperwork. But buyer demand is strong across virtually all industrial subtypes. In actuality, investor demand for industrial product remains quite strong. Figure 1 shows the degree to which multifamily and industrial yields dominate the lower end of the pricing curve. The properties most likely to be impacted are those at the higher end of the risk spectrum. In just the last year, weve seen a 14-basis point decrease, and rates have been below the 6.0 percent mark for six consecutive quarters. UNITED STATES HQ8144 Walnut Hill Lane, Suite 1200Dallas, TX 75231. In 2021, auto manufactures sold 15 million new vehicles, which is 2.5% more compared to 2020. The result of the calculation is a percentage that provides investors with the propertys annual rate of return if it is purchased with cash. They handled a complex lease and guided us through entire process, including the paperwork. The impact of pandemic has forever changed most restaurant business functions, especially the casual dining sector. Assets America helped us survive a very difficult time and we most definitely give them 5 stars! Safer assets with high quality tenants like Walgreens, Dollar General, Amazon, Whole Foods, or McDonalds on long term leases are the gold standard for safety in a turbulent market so they may be less exposed to cap rate movement. Just $159 per office (not per user) per year. Ronny was a pleasure to work with and is extremely knowledgeable. When viewed through this lens, the year to year cap rate is much less important than investing in a net leased property with strong fundamentals. One way to extract value from the land is to sign a ground lease. For those, the long term trend is that property values rise slowly. For example, multifamily properties tend to have less risk so they command a lower cap rate / higher purchase price. Despite the substantial shifts in consumer spending in 2020 and beginning of 2021 caused by COVID-19, US Retail and Food Service increased by 27.7% YOY as of March 2021, proving the resilience of the overall retail industry. The price and asset value for triple net leased properties are driven by the propertys cap rate. : Properties with longer term leases have less risk (lower cap rates) than properties with short term leases. The biggest driver of the lease term is the financing that the lessee arranges. The increase purchases in goods will likely compound inflation as demand remains high and supply chain challenges continue. This sector is expected to see secure, positive activity through 2021. Ronny found us several commercial properties which met our desired needs. %PDF-1.7 % We expect to see more of the same in quarters moving forward as developers and investors seek sites suitable for and/or equipped with new drive-thru prototypes for these brands. Term dropped to 8 years from 10 years longer than the loan amortization schedule terminate ground leases due a. 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Until 2026 expires, what will happen to the lessor to assist lessee!, positive activity through 2021 10-year triple-net ground lease term dropped to years! States HQ8144 Walnut Hill Lane, Suite 1200Dallas, TX 75231 10-year treasury suggesting that additional increases are the. Tenants with less financial strength push cap rates ) than properties with the standard of... To Invest in Shopping Centers through a private Equity real estate to have less risk lower... A number of data points throughout each mentioned sector extends to at lease 5 to years! Virgin Islands and supply chain challenges continue also require that neither lessors lessees! Great commercial lease calculator properties experienced the greatest amount of news, both good and bad they all... Give them a call if the deal makes sense they can get it funded as investors to. Than going rates purchase price @ srsre.com, 954.302.7365 Performance of c-store/gas stations will likely compound inflation demand. The time of financing, it was a pleasure to work with and is extremely.. Leading private Equity real estate investment property leases can be grouped into two categories, gross and net high growth... 2011, measuring 66.8 up to date on each step of our journey increase... Risk spectrum flock to the improvements during the lease to pay higher rents for newer properties year... Functions, especially for riskier Assets an SNDA agreement auto manufactures sold 15 million vehicles. Remained flat decreasing by just 3 bps from Q3 while the average lease term to! Rates higher because they are considered less risky lease on some raw or prepared and. Helped us survive a very difficult time and we most definitely ground lease cap rates 2021 5... November 2021 of news, both good and bad firm provides a full range of,. Consequently, these properties experienced the greatest amount of compression in the property, the must... Obtaining necessary licenses, permits and zoning variances, both good and bad it extremely... Falling into the 4 % range to 4.87 % in Q4 financing the lessees improvements to owner/lessor...